This paper demonstrates effects of economic convergence processes on the foreign exchange behaviour in a monetary modelling approach. Since the exchange rate represents the relative price of two currencies, commonness of stochastic trends between the fundamental determinants of supply and demand...

Diese Studie untersucht die formale Aussage, dass in kleinen offenen Volkswirtschaften flexible Wechselkurse eine 'sckockabsorbierende Wirkung' entfalten und exogene Störungen effektiver als feste Wechselkurse mildern. Ein intertemporales Modell mit nominalen Rigiditäten zeigt die...

This paper shows that properly designed interest rate rules can be consistent withmaintaining exchange rate stability. It sheds light on the relation between interest rate rules,exchange rate regimes, and determinacy of the rational expectation equilibrium in a modernmacroeconomic framework.[...]

This paper addresses the consumption–real exchange rate anomaly.International real business cycle models based on complete financialmarkets predict a unitary correlation between the realexchange rate and the ratio of home to foreign consumptionwhen subjected to supply-side shocks. In the data,...

This paper analyzes the factors underlying the weakness of the euro. For this purpose, the framework advocated by Clarida and Gali (1994) is used. Within this model, three structural shocks drive the dynamics of the endogenous variables: aggregate supply shocks, aggregate spending shocks, and...

A number of empirical studies have reported the result that exchange rates show a delayed overshooting in response to monetary policy shocks. This result is puzzling. Economic theory suggests that the overshooting should occur immediately after the shock, not with a delay. This paper uses a ?new...

We develop a simple model of the exchange rate in which agents optimize their portfolio and use different forecasting rules. They check the profitability of these rules ex post and select the more profitable one. This model produces two kinds of equilibria, a fundamental and a bubble one. In a...

This paper demonstrates effects of economic convergence processes on the foreign exchange behaviour in a monetary modelling approach. Since the exchange rate represents the relative price of two currencies, commonness of stochastic trends between the fundamental determinants of supply and demand...

We evaluate whether the Renminbi (RMB) is misaligned, relying upon conventional statistical methods of inference. A framework built around the relationship between relative price and relative output levels is used. We find that, once sampling uncertainty and serial correlation are accounted for,...

Few papers have tried to project how Chinese monetary policy will behave under flexible exchange rates. As Japan provides an important role model for China, this paper studies the role of the yen/dollar exchange rate for Japanese monetary policy after the shift of Japan from a fixed to a...