Showing 1 - 10 of 8,541
financial forecasting. This paper deals with the application of SVR in volatility forecasting. Based on a recurrent SVR, a GARCH … to forecast financial markets volatility. The real data in this study uses British Pound-US Dollar (GBP) daily exchange … examined to the free parameters. Keywords: recurrent support vector regression ; GARCH model ; volatility forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636113
issue is particularly important for persistent time series, we focus on volatility modelling, specifically modelling of … realized volatility. We suggest a simple way of adjusting volatility models, which we illustrate on an AR(1) model and the HAR … more than 15 years, and we find that our extension improves the volatility models—both in sample and out of sample. For HAR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012952580
financial forecasting. This paper deals with the application of SVR in volatility forecasting. Based on a recurrent SVR, a GARCH … to forecast financial markets volatility. The real data in this study uses British Pound-US Dollar (GBP) daily exchange …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966267
- and second-moment exchange rate exposure on individual firm value and the stock return volatility underlying exchange rate … equity financing cost. -- exchange rate exposure ; asymmetric currency exposure ; financial crises ; asymmetric volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009743539
This paper examines the effect of foreign exchange news announcements on the volatility of stock returns in Nigeria … volatility equations. The empirical results revealed a positive and significant effect of exchange news announcements on stock … market volatility in Nigeria under symmetric conditional variance. However, there was strong evidence of asymmetric effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011843827
This paper investigates persistence in high-frequency, intraday data (and also daily and monthly ones) in the case of the EuroStoxx 50 futures over the period from 2002 to 2018 (720 million trade records) using R/S analysis and the Hurst exponent as a measure of persistence. The results indicate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013419363
evaluates the performance of the models. The probit model with the industrial production index and the realized volatility as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011312197
In this paper, we estimate, model and forecast Realized Range Volatility, a new realized measure and estimator of the …-known stylized effects present in financial data. We consider an HAR model with asymmetric effects with respect to the volatility and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130487
Forecasting Realized Volatility (RV) is of paramount importance for both academics andpractitioners. During recent … relative to macroeconomic predictors. We contendthat these sets of predictors impact volatility at different frequencies. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013244692
We forecast the realized and median realized volatility of agricultural commodities using variants of the Heterogeneous …-sample analysis shows that the variants of the HAR model which decompose volatility measures into their continuous path and jump … volatility decomposition or relative transformations of volatility, in the forecasting models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012847924