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This paper employs a modified multivariate GARCH model to test for cross-country mean and volatility transmission among … higher in Latin America. There is evidence of significant leverage effects and volatility persistence and, in the cases of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139828
We study measures of foreign exchange rate volatility based on high-frequency (5-minute) $/DM exchange rate returns … using recent nonparametric statistical techniques to compute realized return volatility and its separate continuous sample … implied volatility. We find that implied volatility is an informationally efficient but biased forecast of future realized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003795291
calculated. Therefore, in this paper, we review the literature on global risk, uncertainty, and volatility measures drawing on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011780277
We study measures of foreign exchange rate volatility based on high-frequency (5-minute) $/DM exchange rate returns … using recent nonparametric statistical techniques to compute realized return volatility and its separate continuous sample … implied volatility. We find that implied volatility is an informationally efficient but biased forecast of future realized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010290348
Regressions often use pre-orthogonalized regressors. For example, the exposure of a stock's return to exchange-rate changes is conventionally estimated by regression, and often, the market return is included as an additional regressor. By first orthogonalizing the market return on the exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090299
We apply the Realized GARCH model in the foreign exchange market. With daily data, we find that the Realized GARCH model has better in-sample and out-of-sample performances than a standard GARCH or IGARCH model. On the other hand, GARCH gives better forecasts of conditional variances if weekly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046415
This study examined the effects of persistent exchange rate fluctuations on Nigeria's economic performance. It was motivated by the quest to ascertain why concerted efforts of the monetary authorities in Nigeria to pursue internal and external balances yielded little or no positive results in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705698
Changes in net positions of foreign and local investors in the forward market may have differential effects on the spot exchange rate. This paper assesses the role of different sectors in the derivatives market and their potential impact with other fundamentals on the spot exchange rate in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014335504
. Because these events may have been "priced into" exchange rates or increased these rates' volatility, connections between … nominal and real effective exchange rates, both in log changes and as a GARCH-based volatility measure, show whether regimes … exchange-rate returns and volatility do not match those of trade balances, and correlations between returns and trade balances …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014324856
We study the forecasting of future realized volatility in the foreign exchange, stock, and bond markets from variables … in the information set, including implied volatility backed out from option prices. Realized volatility is separated into … its continuous and jump components, and the heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) model is applied with implied volatility as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003762693