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general shape of the implied volatility function of the corresponding currency pair. Overall, we conclude that there is a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010410031
We identify a global risk factor in the cross-section of implied volatility returns in currency markets. A zero …-cost strategy that buys forward volatility agreements with downward sloping implied volatility curves and sells those with upward … slopes - volatility carry strategy - generates significant excess returns. The covariation with volatility carry returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902489
I show that volatility risk of the dollar factor --- an equally weighted basket of developed U.S. dollar exchange rates … --- carries a significant risk premium and that it is priced in the cross-section of currency volatility excess returns. The … dollar factor volatility risk premium is negative on average with an upward sloping and concave term structure. Consistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920214
predictive capability of currency volatility risk premia for currency returns. The volatility risk premium -- the difference … between expected realized volatility and model-free implied volatility -- reflects the costs of insuring against currency … volatility fluctuations, and the strategy sells high-insurance-cost currencies and buys low-insurance-cost currencies. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035847
The study conducts an empirical test on dollar-denominated sovereign credit spreads in emerging markets, including Brazil, Colombia, Mexico, the Philippines, the Russian Federation, and Turkey to examine their relationship with each country's exchange rate and the United States (US) Treasury...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011756971
We present evidence that the growth of U.S.-dollar-denominated banking sector liabilities forecasts appreciations of the U.S. dollar, both in-sample and out-of-sample, against a large set of foreign currencies. We provide a theoretical foundation for a funding liquidity channel in a global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011399316
Many recent papers have investigated the role played by volatility in determining the cross-section of currency returns … returns from the currency carry trade. We show that the importance of volatility depends on whether the currency markets are … unexpectedly volatile. Volatility innovations during relatively tranquil periods are largely unrewarded in the market, whereas …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012591966
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001525818
The objective of this paper is to analyze what are the main determinants of the exchange rate risk premium (ERP). The empirical case is conducted for the daily Mexican peso-USD exchange rate for a sample period from 2007 until 2015. According to the results the ERP is influenced by several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011496736
The objective of this paper is to analyze what are the main determinants of the exchange rate risk premium (ERP). The empirical case is conducted for the daily Mexican peso-USD for a simple period from 2007 until 2015. According to the results the ERP is influenced by several financial variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012987010