Assessing exchange rate misalignment is not an easy task. With reference to the debate on the value of China's currency, the renminbi (RMB), this article highlights a few challenges in properly assessing the extent of currency misalignment. The results derived from the fundamental equilibrium...

We reassess exchange rate prediction using a wider set of models that have been proposed in the last decade. The performance of these models is compared against two reference specifications-purchasing power parity and the sticky-price monetary model. The models are estimated in first-difference...

Abstract: We examine how China's capital controls affect the volatility of the renminbi (RMB) covered interest deviation (CID). We find that capital controls not only drive up the level of the RMB CID, but also cause the CID to be more volatile, highlighting the tradeoff between the role of...