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The novelty of this work is in the presentation of a theoretical framework that allows the modeling of an announced switch of the monetary regime. In our experiment, the monetary authority announces stabilization of the nominal exchange rate after the announced number of periods. We analyze the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095584
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In this paper, we first formulate a number of working hypotheses about the likely contributions of exchange rate policy to economic development on the background of the famous trilemmaʺ which exchange rate policy has to face. Then, we broadly review experiences made by developing countries with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002608985
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We extend the multi-country, multi-sector agent-based model in Dosi et al. (2019, 2021) by incorporating an exchange rate market where heterogeneous chartist and fundamentalist financial traders exchange foreign currencies. This introduces complex interactions between the real and financial side...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015069712
This paper revisits the issue of exchange rate regimes in emerging Asia. It is divided into two main parts. The first part compares de jure and de facto exchange rate regimes in Asia over the decade 1999-2009. It finds that while Asia is home to a wide array of exchange rate regimes, there are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009379695
Supply shocks bring about important dilemmas for monetary policy in emerging economies. We compute monetary policy responses to supply shocks using quarterly data and a Bayesian panel VAR for 24 emerging economies during the period 2004-2019. In this framework, we identify supply shocks as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014375465
This paper analyses the choices of exchange rate regimes in developing countries since 1980. Static and dynamic random-effects multinominal panel models are estimated using simulation-based techniques. Explanatory variables include OCA fundamentals, stabilization considerations, currency crises...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003328432
This paper uses a panel probit model with simultaneous equations to explain the joint determination of de facto and de jure exchange rate regimes in developing countries since 1980. We also derive an ordered-choice panel probit model to explain the causes of discrepancies between the two regime...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003328494
We argue that a higher share of the private sector in a country's external debt raises the incentive to stabilize the exchange rate. We present a simple model in which exchange rate volatility does not affect agents' welfare if all the debt is incurred by the government. Once we introduce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003915192