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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012386806
This paper tests the hypothesis of ‘commodity currency' on the nuevo sol and, more generally, identifies the drivers of Peru's equilibrium real exchange rate using a cointegration analysis. The results show that export commodity prices do not have a statistically significant impact on Peru's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026922
In emerging-market economies, real exchange rate adjustment is critical for maintaining a sustainable current account position and thereby for helping to reduce macroeconomic and financial instability. The authors examine empirically two related hypotheses: (i) that real exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009154820
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011887878
rate volatility of both the pegged currency/the anchor currency (the US dollar), and the pegged currency/the non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150619
in consumption is important to duplicate the exchange rate volatility and exchange rate disconnect documented in the data … volatility while leaving the volatility of real macroeconomic variables, such as GDP, almost untouched. The model predicts the … volatility of the real exchange rate relative to that of GDP increases with the extent of home bias. This relation is strongly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012707889
A stylized fact of the transition process is an early profound exchange rate depreciation followed by continuing real appreciation. Absent historical reference points, it is difficult to judge whether the real appreciation is threatening competitiveness. This paper interprets the stylized facts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012781987
Based on 69 sample countries, this paper examines the effect of macroeconomic fundamentals on real effective exchange rates (REER) in these sample countries. Using the misalignment of actual REER from its equilibrium level, we have estimated the factors explaining the extent of currency over- or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951772
This paper constructs an early warning system for currency crises in Nigeria based on selected key macroeconomic indicators. It estimates the probabilities of currency crises as a logistic function of the included variables within the framework of a logit model. Particularly, the extent to which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011473716
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