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The major drivers of nominal and real effective exchange rates are investigated in a sample of 30 countries between 1977 and 2017. We used the multiple linear regression analysis by Fixed GLS AR1, and Pooled Mean Group (PMG). The main drivers of nominal exchange rate in the long run are found to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840434
Central banks in developing countries, wanting to devalue the domestic currency, usually intervene in the foreign exchange market by buying up foreign currency using domestic money-often backing this up with sterilization to counter inflationary pressures. Such interventions are usually...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292055
Although most CIS and East Asian countries are de jure classified as free floaters, they de facto pursue (tight) dollar pegs. This paper emphasizes dollar denomination of shortterm and long-term payment flows as reasons for exchange rate stabilization. Based on the analysis of ‚competitive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295455
The volatility of interest rates is relevant for many financial applications. Under realistic assumptions the term structure of interest rate differentials provides an important prediction of the term structure of interest rates. This paper derives the term structure of differentials in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295569
The process of international interest rate convergence for arbitrary terms (represented by the term structure of interest rate differentials) is derived in a model of a small open economy which faces a purely time-contingent exchange rate regime switch from flexible to fixed rates. Special...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295585
In this paper we propose a generalisation of the noise trader transmission mechanism to examine the impact of central bank intervention on exchange rates. Within a heterogeneous expectations exchange rate model intervention operations are supposed to provide support to either chartist or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295734
The coordination channel has been proposed as a means by which foreign exchange market intervention may be effective, in addition to the traditional portfolio balance and signaling channels. If strong and persistent misalignments of the exchange rate are caused by non-fundamental influences,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295796
This paper discusses the role of foreign exchange interventions in the inflation-targeting regime, focusing on the Czech experience since 1998. It concludes that the case for foreign exchange interventions is not clear in an inflation targeting regime both from the theoretical and empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296153
Sterilized foreign exchange market interventions are commonly dismissed by economists as an ineffective policy instrument. Nevertheless many central banks operating under independently floating exchange rates regimes are often engaged in sales and purchases of foreign exchange in order to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296527
Under the world dollar standard, a discrete appreciation by a dollar creditor country of the United States, such as China or Japan, has no predictable effect on its trade surplus. Currency appreciation by the creditor country will slow its economic growth and eventually cause deflation but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297476