Many emerging-market economies have relied on foreign exchange intervention (FXI) in response to gross capital inflows. In this paper, we study whether FXI has been an effective tool to dampen the effects of these inflows on the exchange rate. To deal with endogeneity issues, we look at the...

Stabilizing the exchange rate is a major monetary policy goal in a number of Mediterranean countries. We present a microstructure model of the foreign exchange market based on technical trading that allows us to categorize de facto exchange rate regimes and to derive a market based measure of...

What legal basis is there for retaliating against China’s exchange-rate policy? This column says that IMF rules are likely inadequate to rule against China, while its policy does not constitute a WTO-punishable export subsidy. It argues that exchange-rate conflicts should be handled by a...

Emerging economies with inflation targets (IT) face a dilemma between fulfilling the theoretical conditions of strict IT, which imply a fully flexible exchange rate, or applying a flexible IT, which entails a de facto managed floating exchange rate with FX interventions to moderate exchange rate...

This paper provides an empirical investigation on the discrepancies between official exchange rate regimes and de facto exchange rate policies in transition economies. Since official and de facto regime choices are not independent of each other, we adopt a bivariate probit model to describe the...

Emerging economies with inflation targets (IT) face a dilemma between fulfilling the theoretical conditions of strict IT which implies a fully flexible exchange rate, or applying a flexible IT, which entails a de facto managed floating exchange rate with forex interventions to moderate exchange...

This paper analyzes the performance of the Hard Currency Strategy (HCS) which was the centerpiece of Papua New Guinea's (PNG's) post-independence macroeconomic stabilization policies. The main aims of the HCS were the maintenance of the convertibility and the purchasing power of the domestic...

Hong Kong's currency is pegged to the US dollar in a currency board arrangement. In autumn 2003, the Hong Kong dollar appreciated from close to 7.80 per US dollar to 7.70, as investors feared that the currency board would be abandoned. In the wake of this appreciation, the monetary authorities...

In this paper we claim that the empirical literature on target zones which is usuallay interpreted as having overwhelmingly tested and falsified Krugman's model is really a test of ERM asymmetry. Its massive empirical rejection thus means that the ERM never operated as a fully symmetrical system

This paper provides a modelling framework for evaluating the exchange rate dynamics of a target zone regime with undisclosed bands. We generalize the literature to allow for asymmetric one-sided regimes. Market participants' beliefs concerning an undisclosed band change as they learn more about...