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Option prices seem to behave in ways inconsistent with the Black-Scholes model. Implied volatility varies with the … strike price in a parabolic shape that is often called the volatility 'smile.' My objective in this paper is to identify … promising in explaining the volatility smile. Applying this to the ERM data, I find that the probability of a devaluation in the …
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countries. Proxies are focused on both spot and derivative transactions that alter the central bank's foreign currency position …
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period to alter either the level or the volatility of the $/DM spot rate is examined. Volatility quotes implicit in foreign …
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