Kohlscheen, Emanuel; Moessner, Richhild - 2022 - Original Version: June 2022, this version: July 2022
We analyse the drivers of European Power Exchange (EPEX) retail electricity prices between 2012 and early 2022 using machine learning. The agnostic random forest approach that we use is able to reduce in-sample root mean square errors (RMSEs) by around 50% when compared to a standard linear...