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United States and Canada, 1870-1913. Both countries adhered to the international gold standard. This meant that the domestic … response to supply' shocks. For Canada the results are murkier. As in the U.S., the money supply shocks before 1896 are … shocks play a larger role in determining output behavior in Canada. The key conclusion of our analysis is that the simple …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220513
United States and Canada, 1870-1913. Both countries adhered to the international gold standard. This meant that the domestic … response to supply' shocks. For Canada the results are murkier. As in the U.S., the money supply shocks before 1896 are … shocks play a larger role in determining output behavior in Canada. The key conclusion of our analysis is that the simple …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469182
This paper predicts phases of the financial cycle by using a continuous financial stress measure in a Markov switching framework. The debt service ratio and property market variables signal a transition to a high financial stress regime, while economic sentiment indicators provide signals for a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011697685
This paper investigates the effect of macroeconomic variable fluctuations on Antidumping (AD) filing. Using a selected group of "new" users, we measure the relationship between macroeconomic variables and AD filing during the period 1994-2002 using a nominal binomial regression. Our results for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014058308
This paper quantifies global demand, supply and uncertainty shocks and compares two major global recessions: the 2008-09 Great Recession and the COVID-19 pandemic. We use two alternate approaches to decompose economic shocks: text mining techniques on earning call transcripts and a structural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014456396
I empirically analyze the dynamics of business investment following normal recessions (declines in business investment that are not associated with banking crises) and banking crises. Using a panel of 16 advanced economies, I find evidence for significant non-linear trend reversion or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010518645