Ikefuji, Masako; Magnus, Jan R.; Vasnev, Andrey L. - 2023
In Bayesian theory, the data together with the prior produce a posterior. We show that it is also possible to follow … (which is not observable). We then apply the theory to equilibrium climate sensitivity as reported by the Intergovernmental … data contain much less information than one might think, due to the presence of correlation. We conclude that the prior in …