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We estimate a novel measure of global financial uncertainty (GFU) with a dynamic factor framework that jointly models global, regional, and country-specific factors. We quantify the impact of GFU shocks on global output with a VAR analysis that achieves set-identification via a combination of...
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We estimate a novel measure of global Önancial uncertainty (GFU) with a dynamic factor framework that jointly models global, regional, and country-speciÖc factors. We quantify the impact of GFU shocks on global output with a VAR analysis that achieves set-identiÖcation via a combination of...
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How does global risk impact the world economy? In taking up this question, we focus on the dollar’s role in the … global risk shocks in a Bayesian Proxy VAR model. They cause a synchronized contraction of global economic activity and … illustrate through counterfactuals that the dollar appreciation amplifies the adverse impact of global risk shocks outside of the …
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