This paper proposes an integrated framework to analyze jointly two key issues: the emergence of global imbalances and the precautionary motive for accumulating reserves. Standard models of general equilibrium would predict modest current account surpluses in the emerging markets if they face...

This short paper shows how excess global saving led to asset price inflation in U.S. stocks during 1981 to 2019. It compares stock PE ratios to corporate bond values to explain that investor exuberance for stocks enabled and enhanced the extent of the secular stock rise