Futures markets are a potentially valuable source of information about price expectations. Exploiting this information has proved difficult in practice, because time-varying risk premia often render the futures price a poor measure of the market expectation of the price of the underlying asset....

This paper analyzes the effects of IMF member countries participation in the IMF's Data Standards Initiatives (DSI) on the statistical quality of WEO forecasts. Results show that WEO forecasts for SDDS subscribers are in general better than for GDDS participants and those member countries than...

Although NOAA global temperature change data are deterministic rather than statistical, this paper suggests a method of approximating what the variance might be were temperature actually described by a polynomial corrupted with statistical measurement noise (errors). It is a novel and simple...