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Over the past 15 years, long-term interest rates have declined to levels not seen since the 1970s. This paper explores possible shifts in global savings and investment that have led to this fall in the world real interest rate. There are several key findings. First, the authors identify the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010279865
In this paper we test the well-known hypothesis of Obstfeld and Rogoff (2000) that trade costs are the key to explaining the so-called Feldstein-Horioka puzzle. Using a gravity framework in an intertemporal context, we provide strong support for the hypothesis and we reconcile our results with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261322
The savings measures of private households currently exceed the limited financing needs of companies around the world, and the difference is reflected in an increase in sovereign debt. In the EU, over the last two and a half decades non-financial corporations recorded funding surpluses in one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011435414
There are significant effects of changing demographics on economic indicators: growth in GDP especially, but also the current account balance and gross capital formation. The 15-24 age group appears to be one of the key age groups in these effects, with increases in that age group exerting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271339
The paper provides a selective survey of the literature on the Feldstein-Horioka paradox. The observed high correlation between national savings and domestic investment emerges as a robust empirical regularity. If this regularity is to be attributed to low capital mobility (due to government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275364
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015416125
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009664961
Obstfeld and Rogoff (2001) propose that trade frictions lie behind key puzzles in international macroeconomics. We take a dynamic multicountry model of international trade, production, and investment to data from 19 countries to assess this proposition quantitatively. Using the framework...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456897
More recently, Alan Greenspan and John Helliwell have shown that the link between domestic saving and domestic investment became substantially weaker after the mid-1990s. The research reported in the current paper suggests that this is true of the smaller OECD countries but not of the larger...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466816
This paper is concerned with integration in the world capital market between the" economies of the core and periphery in the twentieth century. It proceeds with some general" observations and with a special focus on the case of Argentina. I will argue that understanding" the changing relations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472511