This paper presents and then tests a political economy model to analyze the observed positive relationship between income inequality and inflation. The model's key features are unequal access to both inflation-hedging opportunities and the political process. The model predicts that inequality...

This paper summarizes a suite of early warning models to assess the probabilities of growth, fiscal, and financial crises in advanced economies and emerging markets. We estimate separate signal-extraction models for each type of crisis and sample of countries, and we use our results to generate...

Financial boom-bust cycles -- Lending booms and lending standards / Giovanni Dell'Ariccia, Robert Marquez -- Are weak banks leading credit boom? : Evidence from emerging Europe / Deniz Igan, Natalia Tamirisa -- Growth dynamics : the myth of economic review / Valerie Cerra, Sweta Chaman Saxena --...