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Using alternative measures of return correlations, we show that neither industry nor country correlations exhibit an ever-increasing trend. Instead, correlations jump during recessions with a tendency to revert in stable periods. This keeps international diversification still important despite...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226965
Both cryptocurrencies and gold are scarce, expensive for extraction, and less affected by money supply. We focus on these similarities and investigate whether cryptocurrency network affects impact on expected return on gold. Our results show that the number of cryptocurrency wallet users is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227440
In the presence of rising concern about climate change that potentially affects risk and return of investors’ portfolio companies, active investors might have dispersed climate risk exposures. We compute mutual fund covariance with market-wide climate change news index and find that high...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229876
The paper is divided into three parts with those charts omitted. We have found the global macro cycle logic behind US-dollar index and the gold, and then demonstrate directly several theorems and statistical inference on Quantitative Global Macro and Asset Pricing. Part 1: Changes and Resonance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109633
We examine the performance of passively managed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that provide exposure to global emerging markets equities. We find that the tracking errors of these funds are substantially higher than previously reported levels for developed markets ETFs. ETFs that use statistical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109686
This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110732
The recent global economic and financial crises are alarming in both severity and length. We study the anatomy of the collapse by comparing the current precipitant (housing crisis) with the previous U.S. housing crisis of the early 1990s. Our analysis suggests that the greater severity of this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142845
We propose a model of delegated portfolio management with career concerns. Investors hire fund managers to invest their capital either in risky bonds or in riskless assets. Some managers have superior information on the default probability. Looking at the past performance, investors update...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143133
The average MRP used by analysts in the USA (5.1%) was similar to the one used by their colleagues in Europe (5.0%). But the average MRP used by companies in the USA (5.3%) was smaller than the one used by companies in Europe (5.7%), and UK (5.6%).The dispersion of the MRP used was high, but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143377
The average Market Risk Premium (MRP) used in 2010 by professors in the USA (6.0%) was higher than the one used by their colleagues in Europe (5.3%). We also report the MRP used for 33 countries: the average MRP used in 2010 ranges from 3.6% (Denmark) to 10.9% (Mexico). 29% of the professors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143496