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Correlations of inflation with the growth rate of money increase when data are averaged over longer time periods …. Correlations of inflation with the growth of money also are higher when high-inflation as well as low-inflation countries are … included in the analysis. We show that serial correlation in the underlying inflation rate ties these two observations together …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292328
inflation and is shown to be Granger-causal for euro area inflation in an out-of-sample forecasting exercise. In part, this … contrast, the influence of Japanese and euro area excess liquidity on euro area inflation is more limited. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299143
contribution of fluctuations in inflation to this particular link. In the data, a temporary rise in inflation causes real commodity … prices to rise, as does a rise in trend inflation. We find that a simple dynamic equilibrium model of commodity supply and … demand gives a realistic response of real commodity prices to inflation. Based on historical simulations, shocks to inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274442
independence and inflation. Making use of data on the evolution of central bank independence over time and controlling for possible … country's inflation performance. Examining a cross-section of up to 69 countries, we are able to show that granting a central … bank more autonomy does not necessarily lead to better inflation performance. To lower inflation by increasing independence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274749
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014334700
In this paper we analyse the short- and long-run relationship between employment growth, inflation and output growth in … growth, inflation and output growth with bidirectional causality between employment growth and inflation as well as output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286310
This paper investigates a perception in the political debates as to what extent poor countries are affected by price movements in the global commodity markets. To test this perception, we use the case of India to establish in a standard SVAR model that global food prices influence aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011336943
This paper investigated the link between inflation and the top decile income share after the global financial crisis …. The analysis was done on a sample of 42 countries. We found that higher inflation has reduced the income going to the top … decile. The main explanation is that inflation has eroded their labour income, differently from the low-income individuals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010374488
This paper aims to show why Irving Fisher's own data on interest rates and inflation in New York, London, Paris, Berlin … changes in inflation, not even in the long run. In Fisher's data, interest rates have more persistence than inflation and … change less than inflation over time. The Fisher effect is a misnomer unless it is taken to refer to what Fisher actually …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010496089
inflation, trade flows, capital inflow, capital account transactions, reserve accumulation, global liquidity (e.g., global broad … money), and monetary aggregates, with regard to Indonesia's GDP variables and inflation. This paper uses threshold vector … identified two groups of upper regime and lower regime world variables-namely, world inflation, world GDP, and world commodity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012799838