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This paper assesses the linkages between money, credit, house prices and economic activity in industrialised countries over the last three decades. The analysis is based on a fixed-effects panel VAR estimated using quarterly data for 17 industrialized countries spanning the period 1970-2006. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604934
This paper assesses the linkages between money, credit, house prices and economic activity in industrialised countries over the last three decades. The analysis is based on a fixed-effects panel VAR estimated using quarterly data for 17 industrialized countries spanning the period 1970-2006. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316547
Real estate markets, including residential markets, are subject to cycles and are determined by local factors. This dependence is the result of local interactions of a variable demand and rigid short-term supply, which results from the relation between the real sector of the economy (real estate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003926
Real estate markets, including residential markets, are subject to cycles and are determined by local factors. This dependence is the result of local interactions of a variable demand and rigid short-term supply, which results from the relation between the real sector of the economy (real estate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003927
We build a panel of 14 emerging economies to estimate the magnitude of housing, stock market, and money wealth effects … that: (i) wealth effects are statistically significant and relatively large in magnitude; (ii) housing wealth effects tend … countries; (iii) housing wealth effects have increased for Asian coutries in recent years; and (iv) consumption reacts stronger …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605046
This paper assesses how the degree of the mortgage market flexibility alters the effect of a residential house price shock on household credit and GDP. We estimate a panel vector autoregression model for a sample of 16 OECD countries for the period 1985Q1-2012Q4 and we identify a house price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013012915
when the housing bubble was forming, and if Congress had not deregulated banking but had imposed tighter financial … standards, the housing boom and bust - and the subsequent financial crisis and recession - would have been averted. In this … policy. Concerning regulation, we find that the banking reform of the late 1990s had little effect on the housing boom and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155688
Understanding differences in business cycle phenomena between Emerging Market Economies (EMEs) and industrialized countries has been at the center of recent research on macroeconomic fluctuations. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the importance of certain credit market imperfections...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010402774
We provide a novel methodology for estimating time-varying weights in linear prediction pools, which we call dynamic pools, and use it to investigate the relative forecasting performance of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models, with and without financial frictions, for output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011340986
We provide a novel methodology for estimating time-varying weights in linear prediction pools, which we call dynamic pools, and use it to investigate the relative forecasting performance of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models, with and without financial frictions, for output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010414783