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This paper provides an analysis of the link between the global market for crude oil and oil futures risk premium at the aggregate level. It off ers empirical evidence on whether the compensation for risk required by the speculators depends on the type of the structural shock of interest....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011794500
In this work, we propose an analysis of the global market for crude oil based on a revised version of the Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) model introduced by Kilian and Murphy (2014). On this respect, we replace the global proxy for above-ground crude oil inventories with the oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011794647
Using the prices of crude oil futures contracts, we construct the term structure of crude oil convenience yields out to one-year maturity. The crude oil convenience yield can be interpreted as the interest rate, denominated in barrels of oil, for borrowing a single barrel of oil, and it measures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010401755
In 2020, the futures & spot markets of crude oil have changed dramatically. This paper analyzes the price discovery process of the WTI and Brent crude oil futures & spot markets using the information share model of Hasbrouck (1995), and finds that each reverse of the dominant asset can indicate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313949
options implied volatility OVX index and a GJR-GARCH model. To do so, we test the effect of the implied volatility of oil on a … as aggregate market returns, market volatility, exchange rates, interest rates, and inflation expectation. Our main … finding is that the implied volatility of oil prices has a consistent and statistically significant negative impact on eight …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901872
This paper examines the dynamic connectedness among the implied volatilities of oil prices (OVX) and fourteen other assets, which can be grouped into five different assets classes (i.e., energy commodities, stock markets, precious metals, exchange rates and bond markets). To do so we estimate a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013293023
models and implied volatility indices to examine risk spillover under bad and good volatility changes. The results reveal …-stock volatility is greater than that from decreases in volatility, showing an apparent asymmetric phenomenon. Additionally, asymmetric … risk spillovers are caused by volatility in the oil market. In particular, the ability to predict systemic risk driven by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014548058
depending on the cumulative short-term rate makes them particularly informativeabout interest rate volatility risk. Based on a … joint dataset of bonds and Asian interest rate options, we study the inter-relations between bond and volatility risk … benchmark index (EMBI-Global), and a negative volatility risk premium, consistent with the use of Asian options as insurance in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012924537
volatility, which has not been studied earlier. The study examines squared stock index returns of equity in 35 markets, including … of volatility. Results from the conditional heteroskedasticity long memory model show the evidence of long memory in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022043
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014470341