The paper attempts to provide, for housing markets, evidence of 'shift-contagion' at the international level, i.e., regime shifts in the transmission of asset prices during crisis periods. The focus is in particular on UK and Spain. We use a Markov Switching FAVAR framework and regime-dependent...

The Campbell-Shiller present value formula implies a factor structure for the price-rent ratio of the housing market. Using a dynamic factor model, we decompose the price-rent ratios of 17 major housing markets into a national factor and independent local factors, and we link these factors to...

This paper assesses how the degree of the mortgage market flexibility alters the effect of a residential house price shock on household credit and GDP. We estimate a panel vector autoregression model for a sample of 16 OECD countries for the period 1985Q1-2012Q4 and we identify a house price...

This paper assesses the linkages between money, credit, house prices and economic activity in industrialised countries over the last three decades. The analysis is based on a fixed-effects panel VAR estimated using quarterly data for 17 industrialized countries spanning the period 1970-2006. The...

This paper examines the interactions between money, interest rates, goods and commodity prices at a global level. For this purpose, we aggregate data for major OECD countries and follow the Johansen/Juselius cointegrated VAR approach. Our empirical model supports the view that, when controlling...

We analyze a model for N different measurements of a persistent latent time series when measurement errors are mean-reverting, which implies a common trend among measurements. We study the consequences of overdifferencing, finding potentially large biases in maximum likelihood estimators of the...