We exploit emerging market sovereign CDS spreads to examine the reaction of sovereign credit risk to changes in country-specific and global financial factors. Utilizing a VAR model fitted with DCC GARCH, we find that comovements of spreads generally exhibit significant time-varying correlations,...

The sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads and exchange rates of the developed economies including the US, Japan, Switzerland and the eurozone with the first three countries' currencies conventionally considered as safe-haven varied in a wide range during the financial crises since late...

In this paper, I analyze credit risk premia embedded in sovereign CDS spreads. In particular, I consider a heretofore largely ignored component that reflects the compensation investors demand for default event risk. I find that this default event risk premium is most heavily priced in short...

Using three alternative decompositions of the credit default swap premium this study examines how investors judge the credit risk of banks and non-banks before, during, and after the financial crisis of 2007-2009. The empirical findings, based on a sample of 213 major US and European firms,...

In this study, we use a factor model in order to decompose sovereign Credit Default Swaps (CDS) spreads into default, liquidity, systematic liquidity and correlation components. By calibrating the model to sovereign CDSs and bonds we are able to present a better decomposition and a more accurate...

This paper investigates the reaction of credit default swaps spreads to changes in rating class, outlook, and watchlist entries for sovereigns. We find a stronger response to negative outlook and watchlist changes than for actual rating class downgrades, which shows that negative outlook and...

We provide evidence in favour of a significant non-linear, time-varying dependence between sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads and macroeconomic fundamentals for OECD countries. Macroeconomic conditions alone explain more than 80% of the out-of-sample variation in CDS spreads when...

This study provides a rigorous empirical comparison of structural and reduced-form credit risk frameworks. As major difference we focus on the discriminative modeling of default time. In contrast to previous literature, we calibrate both approaches to bond and equity prices. By using same input...