The ibiCash Protocol serves as a mechanism for encapsulating the time value of forests within a currency made up of units which represent the intangible value of 1 hectare of standing forest for the period of a single day in each of the world's ecoregions. At the end of each day, the system...

The aim of this paper is to investigate the dependence between exchange rates and their volatility from the information synthesised into currency options quotes. To this purpose, we propose an affine stochastic volatility model with self-exciting structure under a timechanged pure jump Lévy...

In Strong Managers, Weak Owners, Professor Mark J. Roe articulates an expansive theory to explain the evolution of the fragmented market structure in the United States. He posits that political choices led to fragmentation in the American financial markets, thus guiding the evolution of the...

Financial globalization had a rocky start in emerging economies hit by Sudden Stops. Foreign reserves have grown very rapidly since then, as if those countries were practicing a New Mercantilism that views foreign reserves as a war-chest for defense against Sudden Stops. This paper conducts a...

We demonstrate how a machine learning algorithm can be applied to predict and explain modern market microstructure phenomena. We investigate the efficacy of various microstructure measures and show that they continue to provide insights into price dynamics in current complex markets. Some...

A dynamic stochastic model of global equilibrium, where countries outside the U.S. face higher risk than the U.S. itself, predicts current account surpluses in the RoW and U.S. deficits. With Loss Aversion, such precautionary savings can cause substantial 'global imbalances', particularly if...

In this study, we examine how public and private debt buildup is related to currency depreciation pressure. Our empirical analysis of a panel dataset of 59 advanced and emerging markets reveals that both private and public debt exacerbate currency vulnerability. However, the evidence of a...

This paper provides a quantitative assessment of the relative importance of global structural shocks for changes in financial conditions across a sample of emerging market economies. We disentangle four key drivers of global financial markets (oil supply shocks, global economic news shocks,...

We construct several measures for the global financial cycle using dynamic factor models and data for 25 advanced and emerging countries over 1980-2019. Our results suggest that global cycles in asset prices and capital flows are highly similar and synchronized, especially during crisis...

One of the more remarkable properties of commodity markets is the capability of their nominal prices to be negative numbers. This flexibility to violate the zero bound can appear in outright flat prices, spreads, and net unit costs. The principal driver is typically overwhelming supply relative...