Showing 1 - 10 of 3,856
In this paper we perform a meta-analysis on empirical estimates of the impact between investment and uncertainty. Since … can explain to a large extent why empirical estimates of the investment-uncertainty relationship differ. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349194
We construct a new index of uncertainty — the World Uncertainty Index (WUI) — for 143 individual countries on a … quarterly basis from 1996 onwards. This is defined using the frequency of the word “uncertainty” in the quarterly Economist …, El Niño, European border crisis, UK Brexit vote and the 2016 US election. Uncertainty spikes tend to be more synchronized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908757
We consider several economic uncertainty indicators for the United States and the UK before and during the COVID-19 … pandemic: implied stock market volatility, newspaper-based economic policy uncertainty, twitter chatter about economic … uncertainty, subjective uncertainty about future business growth, and disagreement among professional forecasters about future …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251406
In this paper we perform a meta-analysis on empirical estimates of the impact between investment and uncertainty. Since … can explain to a large extent why empirical estimates of the investment-uncertainty relationship differ …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014057062
Following the 2007-2009 global recession, economic policy uncertainty and its effect on economic recovery has become an … investigate causality between economic policy uncertainty in some of the world's major economies using the economic policy … uncertainty index developed by Baker et al. (2013). We implement both the traditional linear and the nonlinear variants of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013029078
I explore how and and to what extent policy uncertainty can account for the observed long-run cross-country differences …-related investment cost is uncertain. Holding the average one-period investment cost constant, policy uncertainty leads to a higher … capital price and subsequently to lower levels of long-run aggregate investment and output. Policy uncertainty also makes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014198834
This paper analyses the impact of exchange rate uncertainty upon the pattern of investment in different exchange rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011400788
This paper deals with three aspects of spectacular oil price episodes such as the one witnessed in 2008. First, the concept of temporary explosiveness is proposed as an empirical method for capturing this type of behavior. The application of a recently proposed recursive unit root test shows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009786017
uncertainty over climate change and its impact, why there is so much uncertainty, and why we will continue to face uncertainty in … the near future. I also explain the policy implications of climate change uncertainty. First, the uncertainty … stronger actions to reduce CO2 emissions. Second, uncertainty interacts with two kinds of irreversibilities. First, CO2 remains …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012225170
In this paper, we conduct an empirical study of how uncertainty alters fertility behavior. The precautionary motive for … saving predicts that an increase in income uncertainty increases saving by reducing both consumption and fertility. We … examine this prediction using a new measure of economic uncertainty, the World Uncertainty Index and focus on data from 126 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012508583