Showing 1 - 10 of 5,957
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011339593
The objective of this paper is to find out whether there is a long-term relationship or in other words cointegration, between the prices of oil futures and the following factors: the consumer price index (CPI), the exchange rate of the USD to the EUR, the prices of gold, and the price of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014466537
This study uses the Multiplicative Error Model (MEM) to explore asymmetric volatility spillovers between crude oil and … other major asset markets. We have extended the MEM of Engle et al. (2012) and ddd to include asymmetric volatility … vary over time. Our results reveal that the stock market is the dominant contributor to volatility spillover, while the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014433363
, and kurtosis). With respect to the equity-gold nexus, we find that stock (gold) returns and volatility negatively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013447921
This paper is concerned with the statistical behavior of oil prices in two ways. It, firstly, applies a combined jump GARCH in order to characterize the behavior of daily, weekly as well as monthly oil prices. Secondly, it relates its empirical results to implications of Hotelling-type resource...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009377786
This study provides analytical insight on modelling macroeconomic and oil price volatility in Nigeria. Mainly, the … GARCH - M); and oil price is a major source of macroeconomic volatility in Nigeria. By implication, the Nigerian economy is … vulnerable to both internal shocks (interest rate volatility, real GDP volatility) and external shocks (exchange rate volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011460195
heteroscedasticity (GARCH)-type models to forecast oil price volatility over the time periods from January 02, 1875 to December 31, 1895 … indicate that none of our volatility models can uniformly outperform other models across all six different loss functions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010488966
average, exponentially something, AR, and GARCH class models including ARCH, GARCH, GJR- GARCH, and EGARCH. Volatility is … exchanges (TSE), where the market is highly regulated and therefore less subject to volatility. To evaluate the forecasting … with other volatility forecasting models in international exchanges. However, the simple smoothing model provides superior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138023
Crude oil price volatility has been analyzed extensively for organized spot, forward and futures markets for well over … a decade, and is crucial for forecasting volatility and Value-at-Risk (VaR). There are four major benchmarks in the …-Pacific), which are likely to be highly correlated. This paper analyses the volatility spillover effects across and within the four …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159943
This paper estimates univariate and multivariate conditional volatility and conditional correlation models of spot … volatilities across returns for each market. The estimates of volatility spillovers and asymmetric effects for negative and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159992