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composition of the optimal mix as both persuade the risk-averse social planner to invest more in mitigation. Overall, we identify …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451547
assessment model (IAM) with long-run risk, adapting methods from the asset pricing literature to deal with endogenous climate … risk. The model solves in closed-form for general degrees of risk aversion, stochastic climate feedbacks, and a stochastic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222601
We demonstrate the advantages of a climate treaty based solely on rules for international permit markets when there is uncertainty about abatement costs and environmental damages. Such a ‘Rules Treaty’ comprises a scaling factor and a refunding rule. Each signatory can freely choose the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014041072
In this paper we show that both climate models and economic models studying the effects of climate change are characterized by high uncertainty. Hence, far reaching policy implications such as the net zero goal lack a definite scientific foundation. Neverthelss, it cannot be excluded that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015053416
optimal policy balance in the context of catastrophic climate risk. The analysis uses the WITCH integrated assessment model … with a module that models the endogenous risk of experiencing an economic catastrophe if temperature increases above a … certain threshold. We find that the risk of a catastrophic outcome would encourage countries to reduce emissions even in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010476445
balance in the context of climate catastrophic risk. The investigation enriches an integrated assessment model introducing the … caused by GHG emissions, and ultimately abatement choices. Results indicate that the presence of catastrophic risk induces … responsiveness of mitigation to changes in adaptation decreases. Compared to a world without climate catastrophes, risk reduces the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010205479
Temperature responses and optimal climate policies depend crucially on the choice of a particular climate model. To illustrate, the temperature responses to given emission reduction paths implied by the climate modules of the well-known integrated assessments models DICE, FUND and PAGE are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011718250
Developing Asia has the world's fastest greenhouse gas emissions growth. This study uses an economy-energy-climate model to assess the effects of Paris Agreement pledges on Asia, in comparison with business as usual (BAU) and more ambitious scenarios. Results confirm that pledges must be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011580314
This paper uses a global integrated assessment model to assess how developing Asia, the world's fastest-growing source of carbon emissions, could transition to low-carbon growth. It finds that national net-zero pledges do not have a high chance of keeping peak warming below 2°C. Under an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014442319
Unless developing Asia decarbonizes its development, global warming is unlikely to stay below the internationally agreed limit of 2°C above preindustrial levels. Integrated assessment modeling offers insights into how a low carbon transition can be achieved. The Sixth Assessment Report of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014445931