Showing 1 - 10 of 2,718
This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110732
average, exponentially something, AR, and GARCH class models including ARCH, GARCH, GJR- GARCH, and EGARCH. Volatility is … model, second in order, in TSE. Historical average model provides the worst performance and ARCH class models do not rank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138023
We use wavelet analysis to examine the impact of macro-news announcements on the stock-bond correlation. Significant announcement effects appear after controlling for the recent financial crisis, with a link between the speed of reaction and the timing of announcements, with early released news...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012919223
The expansion of markets -globalization- was reversed during early 20th century and unfettered markets gave in to the welfare state and central planning. But the markets have been striking back since the early 1980s. Governments are withdrawn from economic activities, and many structural market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010320492
The expansion of markets "globalization" was reversed during early 20th century and unfettered markets gave in to the welfare state and central planning. But the markets have been striking back since the early 1980s. Governments are withdrawn from economic activities, and many structural market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003790608
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015081182
We investigate whether value-relevant foreign information only gradually dilutes into stock prices of multinational firms worldwide. Using an international sample of firms from 22 developed countries, we find that a portfolio strategy based on firms' foreign sales information yields future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011344380
We examine the pricing of tail risk in international stock markets. We find that the tail risk of different countries is highly integrated. Introducing a new World Fear index, we find that local and global aggregate market returns are mainly driven by global tail risk rather than local tail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011751251
Do global credit conditions affect local credit and business cycles? Using a large cross-section of equity and corporate bond market returns around the world, we construct a novel global credit factor and a global risk factor that jointly price the international equity and bond cross-section. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014519053
Evolutionary metaphors have been prominent in both economics and finance. They are often used as basic foundations for rational behavior and efficient markets. Theoretically, a mechanism which selects for rational investors requires many caveats, and is far from generic. This paper tests...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114606