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We study the dynamics of inflation persistence in 45 countries for the period 1960-2008. We use a nonparametric unit root test robust to nonlinearities, error distributions, structural breaks and outliers, many of them typical features of inflation data, and a test for multiple changes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322567
While it is widely agreed that Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) holds as a long-run concept the specific dynamic driving the process is largely build upon a priori economic belief rather than a thorough statistical modeling procedure. The two prevailing time series models, i.e. the exponential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010289015
We study the dynamics of inflation persistence in 45 countries for the period 1960-2008. We use a nonparametric unit root test robust to nonlinearities, error distributions, structural breaks and outliers, many of them typical features of inflation data, and a test for multiple changes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003821061
While it is widely agreed that Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) holds as a long-run concept the specific dynamic driving the process is largely build upon a priori economic belief rather than a thorough statistical modeling procedure. The two prevailing time series models, i.e. the exponential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008908972
In establishing the foundation of their investment process, global equity investors typically adopt a framework along geographic and/or industry dimensions. The chosen framework is then applied to the whole investment process including alpha generation, portfolio construction, and risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131001
There is extensive empirical evidence that funds of hedge funds (FoHFs) quickly change their investment bets as a function of the changing market conditions. In this chapter, we first analyze the stability of risk exposure and performance of FoHFs during the period January 2005-June 2011. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089402
The research was conducted in order to study the volatility in gold price returns and its investigation. The data has been collected on daily basis for the tenure of a couple of years starting from 1st January 2009 to 31st September 2011. The models used to run the data are: standard deviation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076098
The slope coefficient estimator in predictive regressions for stock returns is biased by a lagged stochastic regressor. There is also a spurious regression if the underlying expected return is highly persistent. This paper studies how the interactions between the two biases affect inferences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155218
We argue that arbitrageurs will strategically limit their initial investment in an arbitrage opportunity in anticipation of further mispricing caused by the deepening of noise traders' misperceptions. Such ‘noise momentum' is an important determinant of the overall arbitrage process. We design...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051028
Both the world milk price and the world feed price have become more volatile during the last 7-8 years. The ability of dairy farmers to adapt quickly to these changing circumstances will be a key driver for future success, considering that feed is the major cost component in milk production and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024581