Showing 1 - 10 of 39,700
We calculate the social cost of carbon (SCC) under stochastic climate volatility resulting from uncertainty about future climate risk regimes where weather extremes are becoming more frequent and intense. Using a stochastic dynamic integrated climate-economy model where representative agents are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014290496
We present a Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) parallelization of the computation of the price of exotic cross-currency interest rate derivatives via a Partial Differential Equation (PDE) approach. In particular, we focus on the GPU-based parallel pricing of long-dated foreign exchange (FX)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133913
We introduce the class of linear-rational term structure models in which the state price density is modeled such that bond prices become linear-rational functions of the factors. This class is highly tractable with several distinct advantages: i) ensures nonnegative interest rates, ii) easily...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338764
We estimate the term structure of the price of variance risk (PVR), which helps distinguish between competing asset-pricing theories. First, we measure the PVR as proportional to the Sharpe ratio of short-term holding returns of delta-neutral index straddles; second, we estimate the PVR in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011303715
The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury Note is among the most cited interest rates by investors, policymakers, and fnancial institutions. We show that the 10-year Treasury yield's forward-looking volatility, a VIX-style measure that is a proxy for uncertainty about future interest rates, is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014530189
We study the well-known multiplicative Lognormal cascade process in which the multiplication of Gaussian and Lognormally distributed random variables yields time series with intermittent bursts of activity. Due to the non-stationarity of this process and the combinatorial nature of such a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286258
This paper addresses the predictive ability of currency volatility risk premium - the difference between an implied and a realized volatility - over US dollar exchange rates using a time series perspective. The intuition is that, when risk aversion sentiment increases, the market quickly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968804
Cross sectional return dispersion seems a simple, good, real time gauge of uncertainty. Internationally, cross-sectional return dispersion correlates strongly with all sorts of measures of macroeconomic and political uncertainty like, (global) recessions, international political crises, country...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948384
Are options on exchange-traded products (ETPs) and indexes consistently priced internationally? The cross-section of international option returns exhibits a mispricing by sorting on ex-ante volatility returns. In addition, selling international ETP options and buying their corresponding index...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012915950
This article investigates the pricing of volatility risk in agricultural commodity markets. We show theoretically that the cost of bearing volatility risk can be measured using returns to delta-neutral straddles. Using a sample of options for five commodities (corn, soybeans, Chicago wheat, live...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889824