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There has been considerable research into dynamic global tactical asset allocation (GTAA) strategies driven by simple measures of Valuation and Momentum applied to a baseline balanced portfolio of equities and fixed income (see Blitz and van Vliet 2008, Wang and Kochard 2011, Gnedenko and Yelnik...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838940
In this article, we advance the use of factor investing across multiple asset classes. It turns out that style factors well established in the equity domain – such as value, momentum or quality – do extend to other asset classes as well. Even more so, multi-asset multi-factors significantly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012946133
Standard mean-variance analysis is based on the assumption of normal return distributions. However, a growing body of literature suggests that the market oscillates between two different regimes – one with low volatility and the other with high volatility. In such a case, even if the return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012992880
The 2015 Paris Agreement is a landmark in limiting emissions and targeting global warming well below 2, preferably 1.5, degrees Celsius compared to pre-industrial levels. In this light, we investigate how to efficiently construct equity portfolios that help mitigating climate change risk but at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013291123
Why do advanced economies fall into prolonged periods of economic stagnation, particularly in the aftermath of credit booms? We present a model of persistent aggregate demand shortage based on strong liquidity preferences of households, in which we incorporate financial imperfections to study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011774952
In setting minimum capital requirements for trading portfolios, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (1996, 2011a, 2013) initially used Value-at-Risk (VaR), then both VaR and stressed VaR (SVaR), and most recently, stressed Conditional VaR (SCVaR). Accordingly, we examine the use of SCVaR...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012952232
This paper uses a unique survey data set of 105 central banks to investigate whether investment policies for central bank foreign reserve portfolios are linked to the governance arrangements for reserve management. The paper evaluates whether a central bank's investment decision-making structure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213969
We propose a fund allocation strategy for a highly risk-averse investor based on pessimistic decision making to construct portfolios of four major asset classes. Using US data (indexes of stocks, bonds, real estate, and commodities) from January 1990 to December 2010, we find that the proposed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013105593
We establish the out-of-sample predictability of monthly exchange rate changes via machine learning techniques based on 70 predictors capturing country characteristics, global variables, and their interactions. To guard against overfitting, we use the elastic net to estimate a high-dimensional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012847704
Risk parity has been considered a heuristic asset allocation method. In this paper, we show that, to the contrary, risk parity is a special case of a mean-risk type of a portfolio optimization problem with log-regularization to constrain weights. We show that log-regularization leads to a fund...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103702