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Typical systemic risk measurement barely captures the dynamic risk characteristics of the entire banking system. Experience from past financial crises shows, major indicators in financial markets have clustered volatility during periods of economic downturns. This study focuses on the overall...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898293
We develop a dynamic computational network model of the banking system where fire sales provide the amplification mechanism of financial shocks. Each period a finite number of banks offers a large, but finite, number of loans to households. Banks with excess liquidity also offer loans to other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014490902
The great depression of 1929 and the great financial crisis of 2008 have been the two big events of the last 75 years. Not only have they produced serious economic consequences but they also changed our view of economics and policymaking. The aim of this work is to compare these two great crises...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011412358
The current financial crisis affecting all sectors of the Lebanese economy became visible in a dollar liquidity shortage in the summer of 2019 that has since become acute with a political crisis since 17 October 2019. However, while the crystallization of the crisis is recent, the fragile...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842836
Leading up to the global financial crisis, US dollar activity by global banks headquartered outside the United States played a crucial role in transmitting shocks originating in funding markets. Although post-crisis regulation has improved banking systems' resilience, US dollar funding remains a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827587
Fixed-income markets were disrupted at the beginning of the COVID-19 crisis. As whole industries temporarily shut down, businesses and households ran down their savings or needed credit to survive income losses. As volatility increased, portfolio managers sold securities to manage their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012436161
We derive a measure of aggregate systemic risk, designated CATFIN, that complements bank-specific systemic risk measures by forecasting macroeconomic downturns six months into the future using out-of-sample tests conducted with US, European and Asian bank data. Consistent with bank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116044
The empirical literature on systemic banking crises (SBCs) has shown that SBCs are rare events that break out in the midst of credit intensive booms and bring about particularly deep and long-lasting recessions. We attempt to explain these phenomena within a dynamic general equilibrium model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086964
Banking crises are rare events that break out in the midst of credit intensive booms and bring about particularly deep and long-lasting recessions. This paper attempts to explain these phenomena within a textbook DSGE model that features a non-trivial banking sector. In the model, banks are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065656
This paper provides a comparative analysis of the Great Depression (1929-1933) and the Great Financial Crisis (2007-2009) by contrasting the crises' main driving forces and how they relate to each other with respect to the United States. To this end, causes, consequences and measures undertaken...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021968