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We provide a quantitative theory of deflation and secular stagnation. In our lifecycle framework, an aging population … puts persistent downward pressure on the price level, real interest rates, and output. A novel feature of our theory is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013382196
Monetary policy leaves a fiscal footprint. In some circumstances, relieving the fiscal burden becomes the main goal of policy, and inflation control is subordinate. This article notes that the same is true of macroprudential policy, and it characterizes the size and sign of its fiscal footprint,...
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It is frequently argued that credit rating agencies (CRAs) have acted procyclically in their rating of sovereign debt in the European Monetary Union (EMU). They are believed to have under-rated sovereign risk in the early years of EMU, when integrated financial markets provided easier access to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006266
Aging populations in advanced economies are placing ever-increasing demands on government spending in the form of old-age benefits. Economies that have promised substantially more benefits than they have made provision to finance are heading into a prolonged era of fiscal stress. Unresolved...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461838
Aging populations in advanced economies are placing ever-increasing demands on government spending in the form of old-age benefits. Economies that have promised substantially more benefits than they have made provision to finance are heading into a prolonged era of fiscal stress. Unresolved...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129132
This paper shows that multiple steady states occur if a central bank is not independent and is compelled to finance a large fiscal deficit through seigniorage. If the initial capital stock is less than a certain threshold, the economy converges to a steady state where the capital stock is low...
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