Showing 1 - 10 of 4,409
Is inflation (still) a global phenomenon? We study the international co-movement of inflation based on a dynamic factor … explains approximately 58% of the variation in headline inflation across all countries and over 72% in OECD economies. The … explanatory power of global inflation is equally high in a shorter sample spanning the time since 2000. Core inflation is also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014551069
Greater international economic interconnectedness over recent decades has been changing inflation dynamics. This paper …, is an important channel through which global economic slack influences domestic inflation. In particular, we document the … inflation rates, both across countries and over time. Accounting for the role of GVCs, we also find that the conventional trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619539
The remarkable stability of low domestic inflation in many countries requires explanation. In this paper, a number of … continuing low inflation, but also its coexistence with rapid growth and low real interest rates. Unfortunately, the analysis … also leads to the conclusion that rising inflation, unwinding financial imbalances, or both, could easily follow the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014218878
There has been mounting evidence that the inflation process has been changing. Inflation is now much lower and much … more effective. There is no doubt in our mind that this explanation goes a long way towards explaining the better inflation …. We argue that prevailing models of inflation are too country-centric, in the sense that they fail to take sufficient …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014224261
This paper examines the reasons for the declining path of inflation since the 1970s. In particular, it focusses on the … inflation. The paper makes use of different data from individual countries and panel of countries. These data show that the … dispersion of inflation and the behavior of relative prices follow a pattern that is consistent with several globalization …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013342243
-industry-specific Phillips curves for each decade by relating the growth rate of output prices to lagged inflation and an employment gap. We then … represent the sensitivity of inflation to economic slack. We measure globalization by increases in trade and financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822142
This paper studies the impact of exchange rate regimes on inflation, nominal money growth, real interes rates, and GDP … growth. We find that, for nonindustrial economies, long pegs (lasting five or more years) are associated with lower inflation … than floats, but at the cost of slower growth. A similar trade-off between inflation and groth is still present in the case …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014071945
An important body of literature explores the political economy reasons underlying delays in macroeconomic stabilization. This paper develops a framework to analyze conflict between two groups of economic actors, one that has an endowment of internationally tradable goods and another that is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014529854
Are business cycles different according to the exchange rate regime? Baxter & Stockman have inconclusive results. We reinvestigate this question with more recent data and a different methodology and find evidence, for some aggregates, that their business cycle behavior has changed. We then try...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014183752
We examine the relative ability of simple inflation targeting (IT) and price level targeting (PLT) monetary policy … rules to minimize both inflation variability and business cycle fluctuations in Canada for shocks that have important … persistent cost-push pressures in the economy leading to a significant deterioration in the inflation - output gap trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009546871