Jon Danielsson discusses the use of capital ratios and macroprudential regulation and describes the limitations of each policy: How banks can inflate capital ratios, how capital requirements fail to reduce the risk of aggregate shocks and how Basel III regulations burden smaller banks relative...

Accurate prediction of the frequency of extreme events is of primary importance in many financialapplications such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) analysis. We propose a semi-parametric method for VaRevaluation. The largest risks are modelled parametrically, while smaller risks are captured by the...

Risk based regulation has emerged as the primary ingredient in the Basel-II proposals, where a bank capital is to become a direct funtion of a bank's riskiness. While the notion that bank capital be risk sensitive is intuitively appealing, the actual implementation, in the form of Basel-II,...

Cryptocurrencies promise to replace fiat money with private money underpinned by algorithms, not government guarantees. While the technology is elegant, the success and failure of cryptocurrencies in the competition with fiat will not be determined by technology alone. It is more important to...