Showing 1 - 10 of 1,133
of volatility risk in stock and index returns, where we characterize volatility risk by the extent to which forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326350
The benefits of using flight-to-safety (FTS) in volatility forecasting are assessed within a multivariate GARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012916710
The growth of peer-to-peer exchanges and the blockchain technology has led to a proliferation of cryptocurrencies and to a massive increase in the number of investors who actually negotiate digital money. Cryptocurrencies trade at prices which is mainly driven by investor sentiment, becoming a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012931458
In this paper the authors investigate the statistical properties of some cryptocurrencies by using three layers of analysis: alpha-stable distributions, Metcalfe’s law and the bubble behaviour through the LPPL modelling. The results show, in the medium to long-run, the validity of Metcalfe's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012007412
In this paper, the authors investigate the statistical properties of some cryptocurrencies by using three layers of analysis: alpha-stable distributions, Metcalfe’s law and the bubble behaviour through the LPPL modelling. The results show, in the medium to long-run, the validity of Metcalfe's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011976108
We conduct an out-of-sample backtesting exercise of Growth-at-Risk (GaR) predictions for 24 OECD countries. We consider forecasts constructed from quantile regression and GARCH models. The quantile regression forecasts are based on a set of recently proposed measures of downside risks to GDP,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012847547
This paper analyzes conditional threshold effects of stock market volatility on crude oil market volatility. We use the conditional threshold autoregressive (CoTAR) model, a novel extension of TAR from a constant to time-varying threshold. The conditional threshold is specified as an empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014353102
forecasting errors in realized volatility are substantive. Even though returns standardized by ex post quadratic variation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010366935
forecasting errors in realized volatility are substantive. Even though returns standardized by ex post quadratic variation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011553303
We develop a new method that detects jumps nonparametrically in financial time series and significantly outperforms the … generated by a process that experiences both jumps and volatility bursts. As a result, the network learns how to disentangle the …: we obtain fewer spurious detection and identify a larger number of true jumps. When applied to real data, our approach …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181300