In this paper we provide further evidence on the suitability of the median of the point VaR forecasts of a set of models as a GFC-robust strategy by using an additional set of new extreme value forecasting models and by extending the sample period for comparison. These extreme value models...

The Basel II Accord requires that banks and other Authorized Deposit-taking Institutions (ADIs) communicate their daily risk forecasts to the appropriate monetary authorities at the beginning of each trading day, using one or more risk models to measure Value-at-Risk (VaR). The risk estimates of...

This paper studies intraday time-series momentum (ITSM) in an international setting by employing high-frequency data of 16 developed markets. We show that ITSM is economically sizable and statistically significant both in- and out-of-sample in most countries. Based on existing theories of...

This study provides finer-grained results on the financial effectiveness of ESG integration for mainstream active investment styles. We account for firm-size, industry and country effects within ESG scores and introduce the concept of ESG risk materiality. Empirical evidence shows, that U.S. and...

We derive stock returns for firms producing nonrenewable commodities by employing the investment-based asset pricing approach. By identifying the appropriate time-varying discount rate the investment-based approach allows an alternative test of the Hotelling Valuation Principle. The empirical...

We examine insider trades around the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. Insiders purchased shares in record numbers after the stock market decline that began in late February 2020. We find that insider purchases were more pronounced for larger firms, value firms, firms with high levels of leverage...

Black-Litterman model provides a reasonable platform to portfolio optimization and asset allocation by presenting an equilibrium state of the markets and only deviating from that equilibrium state with forward-looking strategic views. Index of Economic Freedom (IEF) can be used as a handy tool...

The 7th World Pensions Forum was held 22-23 March at the École Nationale des Beaux-Arts, a cradle of modern European culture. 120 pension executives and board members representing more than $10 trillion in combined wealth convened in Paris to discuss the regulatory and governance impact of...

We examine the pricing of tail risk in international stock markets. Studying all MSCI Developed and Emerging Markets countries, we find that the tail risk of these countries is highly integrated. We find that both local and our newly computed global tail risk strongly predict global equity index...

Central banks' frameworks for managing foreign exchange reserves have traditionally balanced a triad of objectives: liquidity, safety and return. Pursuing these objectives involves explicit trade-offs. Recently central banks have shown interest in incorporating environmental sustainability...