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Austerity is a concept that is often used in the public debate. It refers to fiscal policy measures that reduce government spending and raise taxes for the purposes of closing a government budget deficit. This paper analyzes the concept in the context of the current European economic crisis and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107161
This paper investigates how sovereign bond investors assess the performance of the government by investigating cumulative abnormal sovereign bond returns surrounding national elections. For a sample of 101 election events in 45 emerging markets, we find robust evidence for a positive market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977003
-relevant outcomes, such as education and health services, public investment, and fiscal deficits. This paper examines how …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014179783
We develop a theory of endogenous regimes transitions (with a focus on democratic consolidation), which emphasizes the role of political culture and of its interaction with political institutions. Political culture reflects the extent of individual commitment across citizens to defend democracy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009755330
The IMF's Vulnerability Exercise (VE) is a cross-country exercise that identifies country-specific near-term macroeconomic risks. As a key element of the Fund's broader risk architecture, the VE is a bottom-up, multi-sectoral approach to risk assessments for all IMF member countries. The VE...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334937
period 1990-2016, and includes 28 indicators of fiscal space grouped into four categories: debt sustainability, balance sheet … vulnerability, external and private sector debt related risks as potential causes of contingent liabilities, and market access. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060231
This model investigates the risks involved when a fiscal authority attempts to roll-over a stock of debt when there is …'s willingness to repay, decide whether to roll-over the stock of debt. If an insufficient proportion of investors participate then …. Lower debt in the less indebted authority can push a more indebted authority into crisis. Lower debt makes the healthier …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083415
salience of which can only have been increased by the ongoing fiscal crisis and bailout in Greece and the immediate fiscal … attention to fiscal imbalances is attributable to the rapid increases in debt to GDP ratios arising from the recession, either …-cyclical discretionary fiscal measures undertaken. Table 1 shows the evolution of net general government debt to GDP ratios for several …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013067011
The financial crisis and recession have left a legacy of unusually large fiscal deficits and growing sovereign debt … policy record as well as the current level of debt. The analysis indicates that all advanced countries except Greece, Japan …. Fiscal space is defined as the room the government has to borrow before it hits a debt limit, the level of debt to GDP at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013068763
Most party systems have seen a considerable rise in polarization during the past decades. We show that fiscal policies have contributed to this development. Our macro-level analysis of 166 elections since 1980 finds that austerity increases both electoral abstention and votes for non-mainstream...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841064