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In this paper I examine whether one can use analyst forecasts of macroeconomic variables to improve investors ex-ante allocation of wealth between stocks and bonds. Such forecasts provide a forward-looking approach which I find improves investor's information set for the myopic stock-bond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012975364
The global financial crisis (2008-09) led to a sharp contraction in both Euro Area (EA) and US real activity, and was followed by a long-lasting slump. However, the post-crisis adjustment in the EA and the US shows striking differences - in particular, the EA slump has been markedly more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998137
, unemployment, inflation, and productivity growth. We provide a brief overview of macroeconomics and discuss how legal interventions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014103520
This Occasional Paper analyses how significant expansions in central banks’ mandates, roles and instruments can result in challenges to the independence of monetary policy. The paper reviews, in particular, some of the key challenges to central bank independence brought about by the global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315253
This Occasional Paper analyses how significant expansions in central banks' mandates, roles and instruments can result in challenges to the independence of monetary policy. The paper reviews, in particular, some of the key challenges to central bank independence brought about by the global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012298570
Using the Johansen cointegration technique, we find empirical evidence of long run co-movements between five national stock market indexes and measures of aggregate real activity including the real oil price, real consumption, real money, and real output. Real returns on these indexes are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014105892
It is well known fact that all good things, as also bad things, come to an end and business cycles pass through good and bad economic times. Economically 2010 was a year of transition from economic recession to recovery. Economies were improving in some countries and industries were showing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110884
of unemployment and low real growth in the United States, or in other countries. Nor have these been of much use in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009269425
unemployment and low real growth in the United States, or in other countries. Nor have these been of much use in the context of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122313
Since 2000 U.S. inflation has remained both below target and silent to domestic slack and monetary interventions. A … inflation. The trend analysis shows that, starting from the '90s, despite very well-anchored expectations, slow-moving imported … "cost-push" factors induced deflationary pressure keeping trend inflation below target. The cycle block provides evidence in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795587