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commodity futures markets. We ask whether limit events are the result of shocks to fundamental volatility or the result of … temporary volatility induced by the trading of non-commercial market participants (speculators). We find little evidence that …
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Agents who acknowledge that their models are incorrectly specified are said to be ambiguity averse, and this affects the prices they are willing to trade at. Models for prices of commodities attempt to capture three stylized features: seasonal trend, moderate deviations (a diffusive factor), and...
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