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Inflation dynamics have been difficult to explain over the last decade. This paper explores if a more comprehensive … treatment of globalization can help. CPI inflation has become more synchronized around the world since the 2008 crisis, but core … and wage inflation have become less synchronized. Global factors (including commodity prices, world slack, exchange rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012225141
becomes nonlinear when inflation is “low”—which our baseline model defines as less than 3 percent. The nonlinear curve is … further increases in economic slack have little effect on inflation. This finding is consistent with evidence of downward … nominal wage and price rigidity. When inflation is high, the Phillips curve is linear and relatively steep. These results are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211362
This paper models inflation by combining the multi-country framework of one of its authors (Forbes) with the nonlinear … nonlinear when inflation is low, in which case excess economic slack has little effect on inflation. This finding is consistent … meaningful Phillips curve relationship between slack and inflation when slack is negative (i.e., when output is above long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012225166
In this paper we analyse the short- and long-run relationship between employment growth, inflation and output growth in … growth, inflation and output growth with bidirectional causality between employment growth and inflation as well as output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009162091
In this paper we analyse the short- and long-run relationship between employment growth, inflation and output growth in … growth, inflation and output growth with bidirectional causality between employment growth and inflation as well as output … growth, giving support to Phillips' Golden Triangle theory. -- Employment Growth ; Inflation ; Output Growth ; Golden …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009487899
In this paper we analyse the short- and long-run relationship between employment growth, inflation and output growth in … growth, inflation and output growth with bidirectional causality between employment growth and inflation as well as output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092691
In this paper we analyse the short- and long-run relationship between employment growth, inflation and output growth in … growth, inflation and output growth with bidirectional causality between employment growth and inflation as well as output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014042997
We study how domestic and global output gaps affect CPI inflation. We use a New-Keynesian Phillips curve framework …1-2017Q4 period. We find broadly that both global and domestic output gaps are significant drivers of inflation both in … output gaps on inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011929651
Is inflation (still) a global phenomenon? We study the international co-movement of inflation based on a dynamic factor … explains approximately 58% of the variation in headline inflation across all countries and over 72% in OECD economies. The … explanatory power of global inflation is equally high in a shorter sample spanning the time since 2000. Core inflation is also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014551069
In this paper we analyse the short- and long-run relationship between employment growth, inflation and output growth in … growth, inflation and output growth with bidirectional causality between employment growth and inflation as well as output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286310