theory based models provide a reasonable degree of safety while widespread VaR models do not provide adequate risk coverage …The purpose of this paper is to investigate the performance of VaR models at measuring risk for WTI oil one …-month futures returns. Risk models, ranging from industry standards such as RiskMetrics and historical simulation to conditional …

We investigate the dynamics of the relationship between returns and extreme downside risk in different states of the … market by combining the framework of Bali, Demirtas, and Levy (2009) with a Markov switching mechanism. We show that the risk … periods of market turbulence. This is puzzling since it is during such periods that downside risk should be most prominent. We …

This book is a guide to asset and risk management from a practical point of view. It is centered around two questions … triggered by the global events on the stock markets since the middle of the last decade: - Why do crashes happen when in theory … they should not? - How do investors deal with such crises in terms of their risk measurement and management and, as a …

We study a new risk measure inspired from risk theory with a heat wave risk analysis motivation. We show that this risk … useful for measuring the potential impact of climate change on heat wave risk. Numerical illustrations are given. …