There has been considerable research into dynamic global tactical asset allocation (GTAA) strategies driven by simple measures of Valuation and Momentum applied to a baseline balanced portfolio of equities and fixed income (see Blitz and van Vliet 2008, Wang and Kochard 2011, Gnedenko and Yelnik...

The hedge fund industry has grown from $200 billion in assets under management around the turn of the millennium to now over $3 trillion. Many reports have criticized hedge funds for poor performance, particularly since the 2008 global financial crisis (GFC). In this paper, I seek to demystify...

Cryptocurrencies have grown exponentially and gained increasing attention in recent years, and while it's true that it's secure by design, “Security” remains the cornerstone of any and all cryptoassets.To benchmark the global cryptocurrencies market from a security perspective, track current...

The concept of a market portfolio plays an important role in many financial theories and models. Knowledge of each asset's share of the invested capital markets is both useful information and a good starting point for investors considering the appropriate allocation to the asset. In our latest...

We study the out-of-sample and post-publication return-predictability of 97 variables that academic studies show to predict cross-sectional stock returns. Portfolio returns are 26% lower out-of-sample and 58% lower post-publication. The out-of-sample decline is an upper bound estimate of data...

Despite momentum's strong historical performance, its returns have large negative skewness and occasionally experiences persistent strings of sharp negative returns, referred as "momentum crashes" in the recent literature. I argue that momentum crashes are due to crowded trades which push prices...

Australian Steve Keen was, in fact, one of just 13 registered economists , out of a global total of around 36,000 (yes that really comes out as 0.04%), who actually anticipated the global financial crisis.Knowing this, I think it’s almost impossible not to want to read his latest book,...

This paper aims to find the effectiveness of Cryptocurrency on well-formed portfolio with assets like Commodities, Exchange Traded Fund (ETFs), Stock assets and currency value of INR. There are several ways to determine the effectiveness in diversification. In this paper we use SOLVER, Modern...

We hypothesize that weather's emotional effects depend on climate and season, and examine the relation between weather (sunshine, wind, rain, snow, and temperature) and index returns separately for each region (cold, hot, and mild countries) and month. We find strong effects of all five weather...

Until recently, there have been few efforts to systematically measure and aggregate the nominal value of the different types of sovereign government debt in default. To help fill this gap, the Bank of Canada's Credit Rating Assessment Group (CRAG) has developed a comprehensive database of...