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We characterize asset return linkages during periods of stress by an extremal dependence measure. Contrary to correlation analysis, this nonparametric measure is not predisposed toward the normal distribution and can allow for nonlinear relationships. Our estimates for the G-5 countries suggest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011317457
Using a generalized vector autoregressive framework in which forecast-error variance decompositions are invariant to variable ordering, we propose measures of both total and directional volatility spillovers. We use our methods to characterize daily volatility spillovers across U.S. stock, bond,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277262
Theory suggests that corporate and sovereign bonds are fundamentally different, also because sovereign debt has no bankruptcy mechanism and is hard to enforce. We show empirically that the two assets are more similar than you think, at least when it comes to high-yield bonds over the past 20...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015371898
This paper examines the macro-spanning hypothesis for bond returns in international markets. Based on a large panel of real-time macro variables that are not subject to revisions, wefind that global macro factors have predictive power for bond returns unspanned by yield factors.Furthermore, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856793
This paper examines how the 1990s capital account liberalization policy trend affected international capital flows, and tests a new hypothesis that the depth and efficiency of the domestic financial system impacts the efficacy of capital account policy. The paper exploits a recently published...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897462
Global risks allow theoretical models of the currency market to explain currency risk premia. Yet, there is no consensus in the empirical literature on which factors can represent global risks. We develop an asset pricing test for global risk factors that relies on the key assumption of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897985
I present an improved equity momentum measure for corporate bonds and study the Euro denominated global investment grade corporate bond market between 2000 and 2016. I document economically meaningful and statistically significant corporate bond return predictability. In contrast to the widely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898405
Investors are increasingly showing interest in risk premia strategies across asset classes. Carry is one of the most studied premia. To successfully execute a risk premia strategy, it is important to have a detailed understanding of how individual premia returns are affected by macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909253
A study of Bitcoin P2P trading in 23 fiat currencies finds trading on LocalBitcoins without considering any other issues does not have any consistent impact of the price paid for Bitcoin. There is also no evidence that liquidity or payment method impact on Bitcoin prices. There is however,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867636
This paper attempts to borrow the tradition of estimating policy reaction functions in monetary policy literature and apply it to capital controls policy literature. Using a novel weekly dataset on capital controls policy actions in 21 emerging economies over the period 1 January 2001 to 31...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012943804