We analyze the relation between volatility and speculative activities in the crude oil futures market and provide short-term forecasts accordingly. By incorporating trading volume and opening interest (speculative ratio) into the volatility dynamics, we document the subtle interaction between...

We propose using a new relative measure, the speculative ratio, defined as trading volume divided by open interest, to gauge speculative activity in the oil futures market. We apply the speculative ratio to examine the relation between basis and speculative activity in the oil futures market...

We study the impact of the announcements released by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) crude oil storage every Wednesday at 10:30 ET (the beginning of the third half-hour interval) on intraday return predictability, that is, intraday momentum. Our results indicate that returns on...

Dynamic minimum variance hedge ratios (MVHRs) have been commonly estimated using Bivariate GARCH model that overlooks basis effect on the time-varying variance-covariance of spot and futures returns. This paper proposes an alternative specification of the BGARCH model in which the basis effect...

We explore the effect of funding constraints on the trading costs of VIX futures. With an increase in funding constraints during a crisis (non-crisis) period, we observe a corresponding increase (decrease) in the proportional effective spread, quoted spread, order cost, asymmetric information,...