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advantages: i) ensures nonnegative interest rates, ii) easily accommodates unspanned factors affecting volatility and risk …, volatility, and risk premium dynamics — including when interest rates are close to the zero lower bound …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338764
I examine the relative information roles among West Texas Intermediate spot crude price and four futures contracts (F1 through F4) with different maturities. Using a cointegrated system with a non-unitary cointegrating vector, I address price discovery by investigating which price is more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114634
value robust volatility estimator with respect to the standard robust volatility estimator as proposed in the paper by … Muneer & Maheswaran (2018b). We show that the robust volatility ratio is unbiased both in the population as well as in finite … samples. We empirically test the robust volatility ratio on 9 global stock indices from America, Asia Pacific and EMEA markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012023869
In assessing drivers of commodity prices and volatility at this stage of the current super-cycle in commodities (year …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120803
This paper investigates how technical trading systems exploit the momentum and reversal effects in the S&P 500 spot and futures market. The former is exploited by trend-following models, while the latter by contrarian models. In total, the performance of 2580 widely used models is analyzed. When...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135708
realized volatility and its continuous and jump components. Considering buyer-initiated and seller-initiated trades and … investigate whether buyer and seller initiated trades as two factors of realized volatility, we investigate whether they have an … asymmetric effect on realized volatility. The stocks in the ASX50 sampled over the period January 1996 to April 2010 reveal that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138999
This paper studies the predictability of S&P500 returns using short term risk premia as a conditioning variable. We construct dividend prices using futures data and identify short term risk premia by projecting excess returns of dividend claims on their lagged prices. Regression results for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091355
We identify a global risk factor in the cross-section of implied volatility returns in currency markets. A zero …-cost strategy that buys forward volatility agreements with downward sloping implied volatility curves and sells those with upward … slopes - volatility carry strategy - generates significant excess returns. The covariation with volatility carry returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902489
I show that volatility risk of the dollar factor --- an equally weighted basket of developed U.S. dollar exchange rates … --- carries a significant risk premium and that it is priced in the cross-section of currency volatility excess returns. The … dollar factor volatility risk premium is negative on average with an upward sloping and concave term structure. Consistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920214
This paper studies the intertemporal relation between U.S. volatility risk and international equity risk premia. We … show that a common volatility risk factor constructed from the option-implied U.S. forward variances positively and … robust to the inclusion of existing domestic and U.S. predictors and alternative U.S. volatility risk proxies. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236052