Although uncertainty plays an important role in economic decisionmaking, empirical measures of individuals' uncertainty are rare. The literature on cognition and communication documents that people use round numbers to convey uncertainty. This paper introduces a method of quantifying the...

Can fluctuations in climate affect economic activity by altering beliefs about the economy? Using new data on subjective well-being and economic sentiment, this paper documents a causal effect of extreme temperatures (below 15 and above 85 degrees Fahrenheit) on beliefs about current and future...

How does policy affect innovation and the digital economy? We revisit how standard product market regulation affects innovation and develop a novel framework for thinking about digital regulation. Using new establishment-level micro-data across 12 countries between 1998 and 2012, this paper...

This paper studies the relationship between religious liberty and economic freedom. First, three new facts emerge: (a) religious liberty has increased since 1960, but has slipped substantially over the past decade; (b) the countries that experienced the largest declines in religious liberty tend to...

This paper introduces the most comprehensive data available to date on centralized and decentralized exchanges run off of distributed ledger technologies. First, we document the rapid growth in decentralized exchanges and their differences in volume and price dynamics from centralized exchanges....