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An intermediation-based model of exchange rates
Malamud, Semyon; Schrimpf, Andreas - 2018 - This version: June 5, 2018
We develop a general equilibrium model with intermediaries at the heart of international financial markets. Global intermediaries bargain with households and extract rents for providing access to foreign claims. The behavior of intermediaries, by tilting state prices, breaks monetary neutrality...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011877302
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The Cross-Section of Currency Volatility Premia
Della Corte, Pasquale - 2019
We identify a global risk factor in the cross-section of implied volatility returns in currency markets. A zero …-cost strategy that buys forward volatility agreements with downward sloping implied volatility curves and sells those with upward … slopes - volatility carry strategy - generates significant excess returns. The covariation with volatility carry returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902489
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Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Returns : Time-Varying Risk Regimes
Calomiris, Charles W. - 2020
We develop an empirical model of exchange rate returns, applied separately to samples of developed (DM) and developing (EM) economies' currencies against the dollar. Monetary policy stance of the global central banks, measured via a natural-language-based approach, has a large effect on exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850036
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Exchange rates and the global transmission of equity market shocks
Ojea-Ferreiro, Javier; Reboredo, Juan Carlos - 2021
We assess the role played by exchange rates in buffering or amplifying the propagation of shocks across international equity markets. Using copula functions we model the joint dependence between exchange rates and two global equity markets and, from a copula framework, we obtain the conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012549999
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Linking net foreign portfolio debt and equity to exchange rate movements
Gardberg, Malin - 2018
Many currencies, especially those of countries with negative net foreign assets, tend to depreciate during times of financial turbulence. Using a panel of 26 currencies over the period 1/1997 - 6/2016, I show that the composition of net foreign assets matter for the exchange rate sensitivity to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011926196
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What Drives the Growth in FX Activity? Interpreting the 2007 Triennial Survey
Galati, Gabriele - 2013
The most recent BIS triennial survey shows that turnover in foreign exchange markets increased by more than 70% over the three years to April 2007. Two specific findings stand out. First, the growth in transactions between banks and other financial institutions was particularly strong,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092066
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Rating the Rating Agencies : Anticipating Currency Crises or Debt Crises?
Sy, Amadou - 2021
In contrast to the early-warning system literature, we find that currency and debt crises are not closely linked in emerging markets. We find that after 1994, credit ratings predict debt crises but fail to anticipate currency crises. When debt crises are defined as sovereign distress-when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013212322
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International investment positions and exchange rate dynamics
Binder, Michael; Offermanns, Christian J. - 2014
We revisit medium- to long-run exchange rate determination, focusing on the role of international investment positions. To do so, we make use of a new econometric framework accounting for conditional long-run homogeneity in heterogeneous dynamic panel data models. In particular, in our model the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010414236
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Real Exchange Rate Movements and the Relative Price of Non-traded Goods
Betts, Caroline - 2008
We study the quarterly bilateral real exchange rate and the relative price of non-traded to traded goods for 1225 country pairs over 1980-2005. We show that the two variables are positively correlated, but that movements in the relative price measure are smaller than those in the real exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012722646
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Volatility Risk Premia and Exchange Rate Predictability
Della Corte, Pasquale - 2015
predictive capability of currency volatility risk premia for currency returns. The volatility risk premium -- the difference … between expected realized volatility and model-free implied volatility -- reflects the costs of insuring against currency … volatility fluctuations, and the strategy sells high-insurance-cost currencies and buys low-insurance-cost currencies. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035847