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Addressing the view that recent hikes in the commodity-equity correlation will only be temporary, this paper differentiates itself from previous studies in two aspects: It examines the long-run trends and the short-run fluctuations of the commodity-equity correlation, and it does so to indices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110172
This paper describes a forecasting exercise of close-to-open returns on major global stock indices, based on price patterns from foreign markets that have become available overnight. As the close-to-open gap is a scalar response variable to a functional variable, it is natural to focus on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379456
This paper investigates the role of volatility risk on stock return predictability specified on two global financial … volatility forecasting measures on future stock returns in four different periods (bear and bull markets). First we find clear … and robust empirical evidence that the implied idiosyncratic volatility is the best stock return predictor for every sub …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999962
We observe that daily highs and lows of stock prices do not diverge over time and, hence, adopt the cointegration concept and the related vector error correction model (VECM) to model the daily high, the daily low, and the associated daily range data. The in-sample results attest the importance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012707381
In assessing drivers of commodity prices and volatility at this stage of the current super-cycle in commodities (year …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120803
This paper investigates the role of investor attention in forecasting realized volatility for fourteen international … augmented Empirical Similarity model that combines three volatility components, defined over different time horizons, using the … similarity measure between lagged Google search queries and volatility. Results show that investor attention positively affects …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012821063
- and second-moment exchange rate exposure on individual firm value and the stock return volatility underlying exchange rate … equity financing cost. -- exchange rate exposure ; asymmetric currency exposure ; financial crises ; asymmetric volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009743539
return correlations using weekly returns on futures markets and investigate the extent to which multivariate volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003965868
The authors examine the relation between price returns and volatility changes in the Bitcoin market using a daily … database denominated in various currencies. The results for the entire period provide no evidence of an asymmetric return-volatility … relation in the Bitcoin market. They test if there is a difference in the return-volatility relation before and after the price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011539994
country betas are time-varying and that currently, global factors are the dominant source of equity market volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079478